Typhoon Tino slightly strengthens en route to Eastern Visayas-Caraga area

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MANILA, Philippines – Typhoon Tino (Kalmaegi) slightly intensified while moving toward the Eastern Visayas-Caraga area late Monday afternoon, November 3.

Tino now has maximum sustained winds of 130 kilometers per hour from the previous 120 km/h, said the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical, and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) in a briefing past 5 pm on Monday. Its gustiness is now up to 160 km/h from 150 km/h.

PAGASA’s peak intensity forecast has been slightly reduced to a range of 140 to 155 km/h, from the previous range of 150 to 165 km/h, although rapid intensification remains possible. Regardless of Tino’s peak intensity, it is already a powerful tropical cyclone.

As of 4 pm, the typhoon was already 170 kilometers east southeast of Guiuan, Eastern Samar, moving west at a slightly slower 20 km/h from 25 km/h.

The weather bureau identified Homonhon Island, which is part of the municipality of Guiuan, and the province of Dinagat Islands as possible initial landfall sites for Tino on Monday evening or early Tuesday morning, November 4.

Afterwards, the typhoon could again make landfall in Leyte or Southern Leyte by early Tuesday morning, before crossing the Visayas and the northern portion of Palawan throughout Tuesday and early Wednesday morning, November 5.

Finally, it could emerge over the West Philippine Sea by Wednesday morning or afternoon.

More areas were placed under Signal No. 4 at 5 pm on Monday. These are all the areas currently under tropical cyclone wind signals:

Signal No. 4

Typhoon-force winds (118 to 184 km/h), significant to severe threat to life and property

• extreme southeastern part of Eastern Samar (Guiuan)
• southern part of Leyte (Mahaplag, Abuyog, Baybay City, Inopacan, Hilongos, Hindang, Bato, Matalom, Javier)
• Southern Leyte
• Camotes Islands
• northeastern part of Bohol (President Carlos P. Garcia, Getafe, Trinidad, Ubay, Bien Unido, Talibon)
• Dinagat Islands
• Siargao Island and Bucas Grande Island

Signal No. 3

Storm-force winds (89 to 117 km/h), moderate to significant threat to life and property

• southern part of Eastern Samar (Mercedes, Lawaan, Balangiga, Giporlos, Quinapondan, Salcedo)
• southern part of Samar (Marabut)
• central part of Leyte (Tanauan, Palo, Tabontabon, Isabel, Merida, Palompon, Ormoc City, Dagami, Pastrana, Burauen, Albuera, MacArthur, La Paz, Mayorga, Dulag, Julita, Tolosa, Matag-ob, Villaba, Kananga, Jaro)
• central part of Cebu (Borbon, Sogod, Catmon, Carmen, Danao City, Compostela, Liloan, Lapu-Lapu City, Cordova, Consolacion, Mandaue City, Cebu City, Asturias, Balamban, Tuburan, Tabuelan, Tabogon, Talisay City, Bogo City, San Remigio, Medellin, Daanbantayan, Sibonga, Carcar City, San Fernando, Naga City, Minglanilla, Toledo City, Aloguinsan, Pinamungahan, Barili, Dumanjug) including Camotes Islands
• central and eastern parts of Bohol (San Miguel, Mabini, Buenavista, Inabanga, Danao, Dagohoy, Guindulman, Pilar, Alicia, Candijay, Anda, Jagna, Duero, Sierra Bullones, Carmen, Sagbayan, Clarin, Tubigon)
• northern part of Negros Oriental (Vallehermoso, Canlaon City, Guihulngan City)
• northern part of Negros Occidental (Hinigaran, Moises Padilla, Isabela, La Castellana, Pontevedra, San Enrique, La Carlota City, Cadiz City, Bago City, Enrique B. Magalona, Toboso, Valladolid, Salvador Benedicto, Sagay City, Bacolod City, Murcia, Escalante City, Calatrava, San Carlos City, Silay City, Pulupandan, Victorias City, Talisay City, Manapla)
• Guimaras
• eastern part of Iloilo (Concepcion, Barotac Nuevo, Ajuy, Iloilo City, Anilao, Barotac Viejo, Leganes, Zarraga, Dumangas, Banate)
• rest of Surigao del Norte

Signal No. 2

Gale-force winds (62 to 88 km/h), minor to moderate threat to life and property

• southern part of Masbate (Esperanza, Pio V. Corpuz, Placer, Balud, Cawayan)
• southern part of Romblon (San Jose, Santa Fe, Alcantara, Looc)
• Cuyo Islands
• central part of Eastern Samar (Can-avid, Borongan City, Taft, Llorente, Maydolong, Balangkayan, Sulat, San Julian, General MacArthur, Hernani)
• central part of Samar (San Sebastian, Santa Rita, Villareal, Zumarraga, Pinabacdao, Talalora, Jiabong, Catbalogan City, Motiong, Calbiga, Daram, Paranas, Basey, Hinabangan, Santo Niño, Almagro, Tarangnan)
• rest of Leyte
• Biliran
• rest of Bohol
• rest of Cebu
• central part of Negros Oriental (Tayasan, Manjuyod, Tanjay City, Bais City, Mabinay, Bindoy, Ayungon, Jimalalud, La Libertad, Sibulan, San Jose, Amlan, Pamplona, Bayawan City, Basay, Valencia, Dumaguete City, Bacong)
• rest of Negros Occidental
• Siquijor
• Capiz
• rest of Iloilo
• Aklan
• Antique
• northern part of Surigao del Sur (Carrascal, Cantilan, Madrid, Carmen, Lanuza, Cortes, Tago, San Miguel, Marihatag, Cagwait, Bayabas, Tandag City)
• northern part of Agusan del Sur (Sibagat)
• northern part of Agusan del Norte (Kitcharao, Jabonga, Santiago, Tubay, Cabadbaran City, Remedios T. Romualdez, Magallanes)
• Camiguin

Signal No. 1

Strong winds (39 to 61 km/h), minimal to minor threat to life and property

• Albay
• Sorsogon
• rest of Masbate including Ticao Island and Burias Island
• southern part of Quezon (San Francisco, San Andres)
• southern part of Marinduque (Torrijos, Buenavista, Gasan, Boac)
• rest of Romblon
• Oriental Mindoro
• Occidental Mindoro
• northern and central parts of Palawan (El Nido, Taytay, Dumaran, Araceli, San Vicente, Roxas, Puerto Princesa City, Aborlan) including Calamian Islands and Cagayancillo Islands
• Northern Samar
• rest of Eastern Samar
• rest of Samar
• rest of Negros Oriental
• rest of Surigao del Sur
• central part of Agusan del Sur (Bayugan City, Prosperidad, Esperanza, San Luis, Talacogon, San Francisco, Rosario)
• rest of Agusan del Norte
• Misamis Oriental
• northern part of Bukidnon (Baungon, Malitbog, Impasug-ong, Libona, Manolo Fortich, Sumilao)
• northern part of Misamis Occidental (Baliangao, Plaridel, Sapang Dalaga, Calamba, Lopez Jaena, Concepcion, Oroquieta City, Aloran)
• northern part of Zamboanga del Norte (Sibutad, Rizal, Dipolog City, Manukan, President Manuel A. Roxas, Katipunan, Polanco, Dapitan City, Piñan, La Libertad, Mutia, Jose Dalman)

The surge of the northeast monsoon or amihan and the shear line are also bringing strong to gale-force gusts to areas not under a wind signal in these regions and provinces:

Monday, November 3

• Cagayan Valley, Cordillera Administrative Region, Ilocos Norte, Aurora, Bulacan, Nueva Ecija, Bataan, Metro Manila, Calabarzon, Mimaropa, Bicol

Tuesday, November 4

• Cagayan Valley, Cordillera Administrative Region, Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, Central Luzon, Metro Manila, Calabarzon, Mimaropa, Bicol

Wednesday, November 5

• Ilocos Region, most of Cagayan Valley, most of Cordillera Administrative Region, Central Luzon, Metro Manila, Calabarzon, Mimaropa

More than 40 provinces face significant rainfall from Tino in the next 48 hours, especially those in the Visayas. Affected areas must stay on alert for floods and landslides.

Monday afternoon, November 3, to Tuesday afternoon, November 4

• Intense to torrential rain (above 200 millimeters): Eastern Samar, Southern Leyte, Leyte, Dinagat Islands, Cebu, Negros Occidental, Aklan, Iloilo, Guimaras, Capiz
• Heavy to intense rain (100-200 mm): Surigao del Norte, Northern Samar, Oriental Mindoro, Sorsogon, Biliran, Samar, Bohol, Camiguin, Antique, Siquijor, Negros Oriental, Romblon, Masbate, Misamis Oriental, Agusan del Norte
• Moderate to heavy rain (50-100 mm): Surigao del Sur, Batangas, Catanduanes, Albay, Palawan, Marinduque, Occidental Mindoro, Maguindanao del Norte, Maguindanao del Sur, Sultan Kudarat, Misamis Occidental, Zamboanga del Norte, Lanao del Norte, Agusan del Sur, Bukidnon, Sarangani, Lanao del Sur

Tuesday afternoon, November 4, to Wednesday afternoon, November 5

• Intense to torrential rain (above 200 mm): Palawan, Aklan, Antique
• Heavy to intense rain (100-200 mm): Romblon, Oriental Mindoro, Cebu, Negros Occidental, Guimaras, Iloilo, Capiz
• Moderate to heavy rain (50-100 mm): Occidental Mindoro, Marinduque, Misamis Oriental, Camiguin, Batangas, Agusan del Norte, Lanao del Norte, Misamis Occidental, Zamboanga del Norte, Southern Leyte, Leyte, Samar, Biliran, Negros Oriental, Siquijor, Bohol, Masbate

Considerable rain from the shear line may also persist in several provinces in the next three days.

Monday afternoon, November 3, to Tuesday afternoon, November 4

• Moderate to heavy rain (50-100 mm): Cagayan, Isabela, Aurora, Quezon, Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur

Tuesday afternoon, November 4, to Wednesday afternoon, November 5

• Heavy to intense rain (100-200 mm): Aurora, Quezon
• Moderate to heavy rain (50-100 mm): Isabela, Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur

Wednesday afternoon, November 5, to Thursday afternoon, November 6

• Moderate to heavy rain (50-100 mm): Aurora, Quezon

On Monday, the shear line is also affecting Metro Manila, Calabarzon, Zambales, Bataan, Pampanga, Bulacan, Aurora, and Isabela, bringing scattered rain and isolated thunderstorms. The rain will be moderate to at times heavy.

In addition, there is still a high risk of “life-threatening and damaging” storm surges with peak heights exceeding 3 meters in Masbate, Romblon, Oriental Mindoro, Occidental Mindoro, Palawan, Visayas, Dinagat Islands, Surigao del Norte, Surigao del Sur, Agusan del Norte, Misamis Oriental, and Camiguin within 48 hours. Check the specific cities and municipalities here.

With Tino nearing landfall, more seaboards have become dangerous for all vessels as well.

Up to very rough to high seas (travel is risky for all vessels)

• Eastern seaboard of Eastern Samar – waves up to 9 meters high
• Eastern seaboard of Dinagat Islands; northern and eastern seaboards of Siargao Island and Bucas Grande Island – waves up to 7 meters high
• Seaboards of Antique and Cuyo Islands; eastern seaboards of northern mainland Palawan, Calamian Islands, and Leyte; southern seaboards of Occidental Mindoro, Oriental Mindoro, and Samar; northern seaboard of Dinagat Islands; western seaboard of Aklan; remaining seaboard of Eastern Samar – waves up to 6 meters high
• Seaboard of Capiz; northern and eastern seaboards of Northern Samar and northern Cebu including Bantayan and Camotes Islands; northern seaboard of Negros Occidental; western seaboards of Leyte and Dinagat Islands, eastern seaboards of Sorsogon, Southern Leyte, and northern Iloilo; southern seaboards of Masbate and Romblon; remaining seaboard of Aklan – waves up to 5 meters high
• Seaboards of Camarines Norte, Albay, Biliran, Agusan del Norte, and Camiguin; northern and eastern seaboards of Polillo Islands and Catanduanes; northern and western seaboards of Surigao del Norte; northern seaboard of Camarines Sur; eastern seaboards of mainland Cagayan and Oriental Mindoro; remaining seaboards of Sorsogon, Romblon, Masbate, and Visayas – waves up to 4.5 meters high

Up to rough seas (small vessels should not venture out to sea)

• Seaboards of Batanes, Babuyan Islands, Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, Isabela, Aurora, northern mainland Quezon, and Cagayancillo Islands; remaining seaboards of mainland Cagayan and Caraga – waves up to 4 meters high
• Eastern seaboard of Camarines Sur; remaining seaboard of Catanduanes – waves up to 3.5 meters high
• Seaboards of La Union, Marinduque, and Surigao del Sur; western seaboards of Pangasinan, Occidental Mindoro, northern mainland Palawan, and Calamian Islands; eastern seaboard of Davao Oriental; remaining seaboards of Quezon, Bicol, and Northern Mindanao – waves up to 3 meters high

Up to moderate to rough seas (small vessels should take precautionary measures or avoid sailing, if possible)

• Seaboard of Davao Occidental – waves up to 2.5 meters high
• Seaboards of Zambales and Zamboanga del Norte; western seaboard of Bataan; seaboard of Batangas; remaining seaboards of Pangasinan, Palawan, Occidental Mindoro, and Oriental Mindoro – waves up to 2 meters high

Tino is seen to exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) by Thursday morning, November 6.

It is the Philippines’ 20th tropical cyclone for 2025, and the first for November. PAGASA expects two or three tropical cyclones to form within or enter PAR during the month.

Aside from Tino, the weather bureau is now monitoring a low pressure area (LPA) that formed outside PAR on Monday.

As of 3 pm, the LPA was located 2,320 kilometers east of northeastern Mindanao. It has a medium chance of developing into a tropical depression within 48 hours.

PAGASA Weather Specialist Grace Castañeda said the potential tropical cyclone could enter PAR during the coming weekend. Its possible track is still highly uncertain, but one scenario shows it might make landfall in Luzon. The weather bureau advised the public to keep monitoring updates. – Rappler.com