Tropical Depression Crising slightly intensifies over the sea east of Bicol

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The maximum sustained winds of Tropical Depression Crising increase to 55 km/h on Wednesday evening, July 16

MANILA, Philippines – Tropical Depression Crising slightly strengthened while moving over the sea east of the Bicol region on Wednesday evening, July 16.

Crising’s maximum sustained winds increased from 45 kilometers per hour to 55 km/h, said the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical, and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) in its 11 pm bulletin on Wednesday. Its gustiness is now up to 70 km/h from the previous 55 km/h.

Crising is still expected to intensify into a tropical storm on Thursday morning, July 17, and into a severe tropical storm on Friday afternoon or evening, July 18, while approaching Northern Luzon. PAGASA is also not ruling out the possibility that it may become a typhoon.

The tropical depression was located 615 kilometers east of Virac, Catanduanes, or 630 kilometers east of Juban, Sorsogon, as of 10 pm on Wednesday. It slowed down further, moving northwest at only 10 km/h from 20 km/h.

Crising is bringing rain to the following areas in the next three days, based on PAGASA’s latest rainfall outlook:

Wednesday evening, July 16, to Thursday evening, July 17

• Moderate to heavy rain (50-100 millimeters): Catanduanes, Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur, Albay, Sorsogon, Masbate, Northern Samar, Eastern Samar, Samar, Biliran

Thursday evening, July 17, to Friday evening, July 18

• Heavy to intense rain (100-200 mm): Batanes, Cagayan, Apayao, Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, Abra, Kalinga, Isabela, Catanduanes
• Moderate to heavy rain (50-100 mm): La Union, Mountain Province, Ifugao, Benguet, Aurora, Quezon, Catanduanes, Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur, Albay, Sorsogon

Friday evening, July 18, to Saturday evening, July 19

• Heavy to intense rain (100-200 mm): Batanes, Cagayan, Apayao, Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, Abra
• Moderate to heavy rain (50-100 mm): Kalinga, Mountain Province

Affected areas must watch out for floods and landslides.

As of 11 pm on Wednesday, PAGASA also raised Signal No. 1 in the following areas, which means they have lead time of 36 hours to prepare for strong winds expected from Crising:

• southeastern part of Cagayan (Gattaran, Baggao, Peñablanca)
• eastern part of Isabela (Maconacon, Divilacan, Palanan, Dinapigue, San Pablo, Tumauini, Ilagan City, San Mariano, San Guillermo, Benito Soliven, Echague, Jones, San Agustin, Naguilian, Cauayan City, Angadanan, Gamu, Cabagan, Reina Mercedes)
• northeastern part of Aurora (Dilasag, Casiguran, Dinalungan)
• northeastern part of Quirino (Maddela)

The highest tropical cyclone wind signal to be raised could be Signal No. 3.

Crising is projected to pass close to or make landfall in mainland Cagayan or Babuyan Islands from Friday evening to early Saturday morning, July 19.

It may leave the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on Saturday afternoon or evening.

Crising is also enhancing the southwest monsoon or habagat, which is causing rain in these areas:

Wednesday evening, July 16, to Thursday evening, July 17

• Heavy to intense rain (100-200 mm): Antique, Negros Occidental
• Moderate to heavy rain (50-100 mm): Palawan, Occidental Mindoro, Iloilo, Guimaras, Negros Oriental, Cebu, Siquijor, Zamboanga del Norte

Thursday evening, July 17, to Friday evening, July 18

• Heavy to intense rain (100-200 mm): Palawan, Occidental Mindoro, Antique, Negros Occidental
• Moderate to heavy rain (50-100 mm): Metro Manila, Pangasinan, Zambales, Bataan, Cavite, Laguna, Batangas, Rizal, Oriental Mindoro, Marinduque, Romblon, Aklan, Iloilo, Guimaras, Negros Oriental

Friday evening, July 18, to Saturday evening, July 19

• Heavy to intense rain (100-200 mm): La Union, Pangasinan, Zambales, Bataan, Occidental Mindoro
• Moderate to heavy rain (50-100 mm): Metro Manila, Benguet, Tarlac, Pampanga, Bulacan, Cavite, Laguna, Batangas, Rizal, Palawan, Oriental Mindoro, Romblon, Antique, Aklan, Capiz, Iloilo, Guimaras, Negros Occidental

Areas seeing rain from the southwest monsoon are likely to have floods and landslides as well.

The southwest monsoon may also bring strong to gale-force gusts to the following regions and provinces:

Thursday, July 17

• Batangas, Quezon, Bicol, Mimaropa, Visayas, Zamboanga del Norte, Camiguin, Surigao del Norte, Dinagat Islands, Davao Occidental, Davao Oriental

Friday, July 18

• Bataan, Metro Manila, Calabarzon, Bicol, Mimaropa, Visayas, Zamboanga Peninsula, Basilan, Sulu, Tawi-Tawi, Misamis Occidental, Lanao del Norte, Camiguin, Surigao del Norte, Dinagat Islands, Davao Occidental, Davao Oriental

In certain seaboards on Thursday, dangerous conditions may persist, especially for small vessels.

Up to rough seas (small vessels should not venture out to sea)

• Western seaboard of Palawan; northern and eastern seaboards of Catanduanes; northern and western seaboards of Zamboanga del Norte and Camiguin; southern seaboards of Negros Oriental, Siquijor, Bohol, and Southern Leyte; eastern seaboards of Davao Region; seaboards of Surigao del Norte and Dinagat Islands – waves up to 2.5 meters high

Up to moderate seas (small vessels should take precautionary measures or avoid sailing, if possible)

• Northwestern seaboard of Occidental Mindoro; southwestern seaboards of Antique and Negros Occidental; eastern seaboards of Northern Samar and Eastern Samar – waves up to 2 meters high

Crising is the Philippines’ third tropical cyclone for 2025 and the second tropical cyclone for July, after Typhoon Bising (Danas) in the first week of the month.

PAGASA earlier estimated two or three tropical cyclones could develop within or enter PAR in July. – Rappler.com