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Leni Robredo, Raffy Tulfo, Sara Duterte and Imee Marcos in composite images.
The STAR; Senate PRIB
MANILA, Philippines — A hypothetical 2028 tandem of Naga City Mayor Leni Robredo and Sen. Raffy Tulfo led a possible Vice President Sara Duterte-Sen. Imee Marcos ticket by 4 percentage points in an OCTA Research survey.
OCTA's March 2026 Tugon ng Masa survey showed the Robredo-Tulfo tandem with 44% support among adult Filipinos, compared with 40% for Duterte-Marcos. Another 16% were undecided.
The survey was conducted from March 19 to 25 among 1,200 adult Filipinos, with a ±3% margin of error.
OCTA said the results were an "early-stage hypothetical preference measure" and should be read as a snapshot of current sentiment, not a prediction of election outcomes.
Regional split
The Robredo-Tulfo tandem drew its strongest support in the National Capital Region at 61%, followed by Balance Luzon at 57% and the Visayas at 48%.
Duterte-Marcos, however, dominated Mindanao with 86%, while Robredo-Tulfo registered only 5% in the region.
By socioeconomic class, Robredo-Tulfo led among class D respondents with 47%, while Duterte-Marcos led among class E respondents with 51%. Among ABC respondents, the two hypothetical tickets were nearly even, with Duterte-Marcos at 37% and Robredo-Tulfo at 35%.
OCTA said the national figures point to a competitive tandem landscape, with only 4 percentage points separating the two tickets.
It also said the Robredo-Tulfo pairing marked the first time in its Tugon ng Masa surveys that a tandem had surpassed support for Duterte-Marcos.
Other figures
The result builds on earlier OCTA findings showing Tulfo as a competitive figure against Duterte in hypothetical 2028 scenarios.
In April 2024, OCTA commissioned surveys showing Tulfo beating Duterte in one-on-one 2028 matchups. OCTA fellow Ranjit Rye told One News' "Storycon" at the time that Tulfo won in the survey results by around 10 to 15 points, but stressed that the findings were early and that Philippine presidential elections are rarely two-way contests.
A Pulse Asia survey released earlier this month, meanwhile, also placed Robredo in a hypothetical head-to-head matchup against Duterte. While the vice president still led the March results, the gap had narrowed.
