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LPA. Satellite image of the low pressure area inside the Philippine Area of Responsibility as of July 3, 2025, 3 pm.
PAGASA
PAGASA warns the public that floods and landslides remain possible in areas affected by the low pressure area and the southwest monsoon
MANILA, Philippines – Moderate to intense rain will persist in parts of Luzon due to the low pressure area (LPA) inside the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) and the southwest monsoon or habagat in the next few days, the weather bureau said on Thursday afternoon, July 3.
The LPA was already over the coastal waters of Sabtang, Batanes, as of 3 pm on Thursday, according to the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical, and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA).
It still has a medium chance of developing into a tropical depression within 24 hours. If it does, it would be given the local name Bising.
PAGASA issued this updated rainfall outlook for the LPA at 5 pm:
Thursday afternoon, July 3, to Friday afternoon, July 4
- Heavy to intense rain (100-200 millimeters): Ilocos Norte
- Moderate to heavy rain (50-100 mm): Batanes, Cagayan, Apayao, Abra, Kalinga
Friday afternoon, July 4, to Saturday afternoon, July 5
- Moderate to heavy rain (50-100 mm): Batanes, Cagayan, Apayao, Ilocos Norte
Saturday afternoon, July 5, to Sunday afternoon, July 6
- Heavy to intense rain (100-200 mm): Batanes
- Moderate to heavy rain (50-100 mm): Ilocos Norte
Meanwhile, the southwest monsoon is still affecting much of the Philippines, with rain expected to be particularly heavy in the following areas:
Thursday afternoon, July 3, to Friday afternoon, July 4
- Heavy to intense rain (100-200 mm): Pangasinan, Zambales, Bataan
- Moderate to heavy rain (50-100 mm): Metro Manila, Ilocos Sur, La Union, Benguet, Ifugao, Mountain Province, Tarlac, Pampanga, Bulacan, Rizal, Laguna, Cavite, Batangas, Occidental Mindoro
Friday afternoon, July 4, to Saturday afternoon, July 5
- Moderate to heavy rain (50-100 mm): Ilocos Sur, La Union, Pangasinan, Abra, Benguet, Zambales, Bataan
Saturday afternoon, July 5, to Sunday afternoon, July 6
- Moderate to heavy rain (50-100 mm): Ilocos Sur, La Union, Pangasinan
Floods and landslides remain possible in areas affected by the southwest monsoon and the LPA.
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Meanwhile, the tropical storm with the international name Mun, which has remained outside PAR, already left PAGASA’s monitoring domain on Thursday afternoon. This means the weather bureau will no longer include updates on Tropical Storm Mun in its forecasts.
PAGASA expects 11 to 19 tropical cyclones to form within or enter PAR in the second half of 2025. These are the weather bureau’s estimates per month:
- July – 2 or 3
- August – 2 or 3
- September – 2 to 4
- October – 2 to 4
- November – 2 or 3
- December – 1 or 2
So far, the country has had one tropical cyclone this year — the short-lived Tropical Depression Auring in the second week of June. – Rappler.com
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