Monsoon rain far from over in drenched Metro Manila, Luzon provinces

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PAGASA also says early Tuesday, July 22, that one of the two low pressure areas inside the Philippine Area of Responsibility now has a high chance of developing into a tropical depression within 24 hours

MANILA, Philippines – Metro Manila, Calabarzon, much of Central Luzon, Occidental Mindoro, and Pangasinan are expected to bear the brunt of persistent rain from the southwest monsoon or habagat on Tuesday, July 22.

In a briefing at 5 am on Tuesday, the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical, and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) said moderate to intense rain will continue on Tuesday, and possibly affect even more areas on Wednesday, July 23, and Thursday, July 24.

Below is PAGASA’s latest rainfall outlook for the southwest monsoon.

Tuesday, July 22

• Heavy to intense rain (100-200 millimeters): Metro Manila, Zambales, Bataan, Pampanga, Bulacan, Cavite, Batangas, Rizal, Occidental Mindoro
• Moderate to heavy rain (50-100 mm): Pangasinan, Tarlac, Laguna, Quezon

Wednesday, July 23

• Heavy to intense rain (100-200 mm): Metro Manila, Zambales, Bataan, Pampanga, Bulacan, Cavite, Batangas, Laguna, Rizal, Occidental Mindoro
• Moderate to heavy rain (50-100 mm): Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, La Union, Pangasinan, Tarlac, Quezon, Oriental Mindoro, Marinduque, Romblon, Masbate, Sorsogon, Albay, Camarines Sur, Catanduanes, Antique, Aklan, Capiz, Iloilo, Guimaras, Negros Occidental

Thursday, July 24

• Heavy to intense rain (100-200 mm): Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, La Union, Pangasinan, Abra, Benguet, Zambales, Bataan, Occidental Mindoro
• Moderate to heavy rain (50-100 mm): Metro Manila, Apayao, Tarlac, Pampanga, Bulacan, Cavite, Batangas, Rizal, Laguna, Quezon, Oriental Mindoro, Marinduque, Romblon, Masbate, Sorsogon, Albay, Camarines Sur, Aklan, Antique

Severe flooding and landslides remain likely.

In the rest of the country on Tuesday, isolated to scattered rain and thunderstorms are possible, still due to the southwest monsoon.

Malacañang suspended classes in all levels and government work in Metro Manila, Zambales, Bataan, Pampanga, Bulacan, Cavite, Batangas, Rizal, Pangasinan, Tarlac, and Occidental Mindoro.

Meanwhile, as of 2 am on Tuesday, one of the two low pressure areas (LPAs) inside the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) already had a high chance of developing into a tropical depression within 24 hours.

That LPA is the first one that formed on Sunday evening, July 20. It was 1,140 kilometers east of Central Luzon at 3 am on Tuesday, still far from land.

The second LPA, which formed on Monday, July 21, was last spotted 370 kilometers east of Calayan, Cagayan, also at 3 am. Its trough or extension continues to bring scattered rain and thunderstorms to Cagayan Valley.

The second LPA still has a “medium” chance of developing into a tropical depression in the next 24 hours.

The Philippines’ next tropical cyclone will be given the local name Dante.

“Kung maging bagyo man ang alinman sa dalawang low pressure area, ipinapakita po ng ating mga latest data na posibleng ang maging direksiyon nito ay pa-hilaga, so medyo maliit ‘yung tsansa na ito ay mag-landfall…. Gayunpaman, posible pa rin talaga na magpapaulan ang hanging habagat at posibleng palakasin pa kung maging bagyo ‘yung isa sa mga low pressure area,” PAGASA Weather Specialist Obet Badrina said in the early Tuesday briefing.

(If any of the two low pressure areas become a tropical cyclone, our latest data show it could move northward, so its chances of making landfall would be quite slim. However, the southwest monsoon is still expected to cause rain and it could be enhanced if one of the low pressure areas develops into a tropical cyclone.)

So far, the country has had three tropical cyclones in 2025, two of them in July — Typhoon Bising (Danas) and Severe Tropical Storm Crising (Wipha). – Rappler.com