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ADMIN SLATE. Senatorial candidates of the Alyansa para sa Bagong Pilipinas woo voters in Cavite on March 22, 2025.
Alyansa para sa Bagong Pilipinas
Outside of the Top 4 spots, it's poised to be a tight and tough race to bag the rest of the 12 Senate seats, with candidates just one or two points away from bets above or below them
MANILA, Philippines – With under a month to go before Election Day on May 12, less than a third of Filipinos have a complete senatorial slate in mind, according to a Pulse Asia preference survey held in late April 2024.
According to the same survey, conducted from April 20 to 24, only 27% of Filipinos “have a complete senatorial slate.”
Reelectionist Senator Bong Go was a majority choice, with a 62.2% preference based on the Pulse Asia poll.
The late April 2025 poll by Pulse Asia showed Go widening his lead over the number 2 on the list, administration bet ACT-CIS Representative Erwin Tulfo, who had a reference rating of 42.4%.
In the March 2025 iteration of the survey, Go had a 10-percentage point lead over Tulfo. The April 2025 survey shows Go with a 20-percentage point advantage over Tulfo and his companions at the 2-4 rank: former Senate president Tito Sotto (41.1%) and reelectionist Senator Ronald dela Rosa (41%).
Outside of the top 4 in the Pulse Asia poll, it’ll likely be a tight and tough race to bag the last 8 Senate slots in the 2025 Senate elections, with candidates just one or two percentage points away from bets above and below them.
14 with a chance of winning
The poll, a snapshot of sentiments three weeks before Election Day, indicates that most voters support an average of eight Senate candidates.
The April 2025 survey will be the last publicly released poll from Pulse Asia before May 12.
Based on the late April 2025 survey, 14 senatorial candidates have a “statistical chance of making it to the winners’ circle.”
Alongside Go and Tulfo, they are:
- Senator Christopher Go (Rank 1, 62.2%)
- ACT-CIS Party-List Representative Erwin Tulfo (Rank 2-4, 42.4%)
- Former Senate president Vicente Sotto III (Rank 2-4. 41.1%)
- Senator Ronald dela Rosa (Rank 2-4, 41.0%)
- Senator Ramon Revilla Jr. (Rank 5-8, 35.6%)
- Former senator Panfilo Lacson (Rank 5-9, 33.8%)
- Ben Tulfo (Rank 5-10, 33.5%)
- Senator Manuel Lapid (Rank 5-11, 32.2%)
- Makati City Mayor Mar-len Abigail Binay (Rank 6-13, 30.2%)
- Senator Pia Cayetano (Rank 7-13, 29.9%, 7th to 13th places)
- Willie Revillame (Rank 8-14, 28.6%)
- Las Piñas City Representative Camille Villar (Rank 9-14, 28.3%)
- former senator Emmanuel Pacquiao (Rank 9-14, 28.3%)
- former senator Paolo Benigno Aquino IV (Rank 11-18, 25.4%)
Of the 14, 9 are from the administration’s Alyansa sa Para sa Bagong Pilipinas, two are under former president Rodrigo Duterte, while three are independent bets.
Candidates who placed just outside the list of the 14 with a “statistical chance” of winning are reelectionist Senator Imee Marcos with 24.7% preference and Duterte loyalist Phillip Salvador with 23.7% preference at rank 14-18, SAGIP Represenative Rodante Marcoleta (23%), and former interior secretary Benhur Abalos (22.9%).
Next to Marcoleta and Abalos are former senator Kiko Pangilinan (17-19, with 19.8%), Jimmy Bondoc (20-22, with 16.6%), and reelectionist Senator Francis Tolentino (15.7%, ranked 20-24).
The survey with 2,400 respondents used face-to-face interviews, and respondents were asked to fill up a sample ballot similar to the one to be used on May 12. It has a plus/minus 2% margin of error.
Of those surveyed, 8% voted for bets who have already withdrawn, i.e. Doc Willie Ong and Wilbert Lee, considered as stray votes; 7.2% refused to fill up the ballot, while 1.8% accepted but left it blank. – Rappler.com
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